Current hypothesis
Some dramatic separation and some close finishes will look different after additional opponents.
Evidence and counterevidence
Miami and LSU separated sharply; UCLA pulled away late; Baylor and Louisville covers involved late rallies.
Counterevidence
Those outcomes are still real evidence, and cannot be dismissed simply because the sample is small.
Unknown
Opponent-adjusted efficiency, availability and comparable game-state samples remain research_pending.
Next diagnostic action
Compare each reviewed team’s next games and opponents’ next games, including Stanford–Duke and FSU–Alabama on September 19.
What would support it
Context matters if a claimed strength fails against different opposition or the first opponent repeatedly exhibits the same weakness.
What would weaken or invalidate it
The initial interpretation strengthens if the same mechanisms persist against varied opponents and game states.